Fantasy Production by the Numbers Week 1

Fantasy Football is a weekly game that needs weekly tools. But we must get to at least week two before adjusting my Weekly Value and MVP Index values. Every week, I will update you on who is doing the best for the 2024 season and show how that relates to their weekly value going forward. This week, we look just at the week one data to show who got off to the best start. Let’s look at Fantasy Football production by the numbers in week one. 

QB Position

We will use the standard 25 yards passing for 1 point, 4 points for a passing TD, 10 yards rushing for 1 point, and 6 points for a rushing TD to grade QBs for week one. Only the 32 starting QBs will be graded. 

30 or more points- Super Elite Level (1) 

Josh Allen

25 or more points- Elite Level (4) 

Baker Mayfield, Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Anthony Richardson

20 or more points- Solid Performance (1) 

Derek Carr

15 or more points- Adequate Starter Level (6) 

CJ Stroud, Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts, Geno Smith, Jordan Love, Kyler Murray

Ten or more points- Poor Performance Level (12) 

Matthew Stafford, Sam Darnold, Patrick Mahomes, Gardner Minshew, Justin Fields, Dak Prescott, Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, Bo Nix, DeShaun Watson, Justin Herbert, Brock Purdy

Less than 10 points- Game Losing Level (8) 

Bryce Young, Will Levis, Aaron Rodgers, Joe Burrow, Jacoby Brissett, Kirk Cousins, Caleb Williams, Daniel Jones, 

RB Position

We will use the standard 10 yards rushing yards for 1 point, 10 yards receiving for 1 point, 6 points for any TD, and one point per reception to grade RBs for week one. Only the RBs likely to be in the starting lineup for Fantasy Football Managers or scoring more than 10 points were graded. 

30 or more points- Game Winning Level (1)

Saquon Barkley 

25 or more points- Super Elite Level (1) 

Joe Mixon

20 or more points- Elite Level (6)

De’Von Achane, JK Dobbins, Jordan Mason, Alvin Kamara, Rhamondre Stevenson, Breece Hall

15 or more points- Solid Performance (12) 

Jerome Ford, Aaron Jones, Kenneth Walker, Tony Pollard, Brian Robinson, Jamyr Gibbs, James Conner, Richard White, David Montgomery, Alexander Mattison, Bijan Robinson, Isiah Pacheco

Ten or more points- Adequate Starter Level (12) 

Kyren Williams, Zach Moss, Travis Etienne, James Cook, Ezekiel Elliott, Josh Jacobs, Zach Charbonnet, Jamaal Williams, Justice Hill, Jonathon Taylor, Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler

Five or more points- Poor Performance Level (9) 

Bucky Irving, Devin Singletary, Najee Harris, Jaleel McLaughlin, Tank Bigsby, Ty Chandler, Tyjae Spears, Zamir White, Chase Brown 

Less than 5 points- Game Losing Level (7) 

Rico Dowdle, Jaylen Warren, Raheem Mostert, Gus Edwards, Javonte Williams, D’Andre Swift, Chuba Hubbard

WR Position

We will use the standard 10 yards rushing yards for 1 point, 10 yards receiving for 1 point, 6 points for any TD, and one point per reception to grade WRs for week one. Only the WRs likely to be in the starting lineup for Fantasy Football Managers or scoring more than 10 points were graded. 

30 or more points- Game Winning Level (2) 

Jayden Reed, Cooper Kupp

25 or more points- Super Elite Level (2) 

Allen Lazard, Tyreek Hill

20 or more points- Elite Level (7) 

Jameson Williams, Mike Evans, AJ Brown, Chris Godwin, Stefon Diggs, Alex Pierce, Xavier Worthy

15 or more points- Solid Performance (6) 

Deebo Samuel, Nico Collins, Rashee Rice, Jaylen Waddle, Justin Jefferson, DeVonta Smith

Ten or more points- Adequate Starter Level (23) 

Ladd McConkey, Brian Thomas, Brandin Cooks, Tyler Lockett, CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Khalil Shakir, Tyler Johnson, Ashton Dulin, Ja’Marr Chase, Garret Wilson, Devaughn Vele, Wan’Dale Robinson, Malik Nabers, Jerry Jeudy, Juan Jennings, Greg Dortch, Zay Flowers, Davante Adams, Mack Hollins, Christian Watson, Jalen McMillan, DJ Moore

Five or more points- Poor Performance Level (11) 

Jakobi Meyers, Gabe Davis, Keon Coleman, Romeo Doubs, Tank Dell, Puka Nacua, Calvin Ridley, Courtland Sutton, Michael Pittman, Keenan Allen, DK Metcalf 

Less than 5 points- Game Losing Level (13) 

Brandon Aiyuk, Amon Ra St Brown, Christian Kirk, Dionte Johnson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Terry McLaurin, Amari Cooper, Drake London, Chris Olave Rome Odunze, DeAndre Hopkins, Marvin Harrison Jr, Dontayvion Wicks 

TE Position

We will use the standard 10 yards rushing yards for 1 point, 10 yards receiving for 1 point, 6 points for any TD, and one point per reception to grade TEs for week one. Only the TEs likely to be in the starting lineup for Fantasy Football Managers or scoring more than 10 points were graded. 

20 or more points- Game Winning Level (1) 

Isiah Likely

15 or more points- Super Elite Level (0)

NONE

Ten or more points- Elite Level (4) 

Foster Moreau, Brock Bowers, Kyle Pitts, Juwan Johnson

Eight or more points- Adequate Starter Level (6)

Chigoziem Okonkwo, Colby Parkinson, Sam LaPorta, David Njoku, George Kittle, Trey McBride 

Five or More Points- Poor Performance Level (4) 

Dallas Goedert, Pat Freiermuth, Travis Kelce, Hayden Hurst 

Less than 5 points- Game Losing Level (9) 

Dalton Schultz, Jake Ferguson, Hunter Henry, Mark Andrews, Noah Fant, Dalton Kincaid, John Smith, Evan Engram, Cole Kmet

Conclusion

Scoring was way down for many starting-level QBs and TEs in week one. Some players taking in the first three rounds had those game-losing performances less than 5 points that we want to avoid at all costs. Each week, I will look at how players are shaped against these set point values because, quite often, the gap between players from WR24 and WR36 is quite different. Also, starting next week, the 2024 data starts getting weighted into my weekly value tools, which will be a reasonable forecast of what to expect for the rest of the season. Good luck in week two!