Weekly Values in Fantasy Football After Week Six 

In fantasy football, too many players concentrate on total points, which can deceive us of the actual value of players in fake football. One huge week can vault someone into the top 10 at a position, especially early in the season. My goal with my statistical tools is to show the weekly value of a player by comparing their best games against their fellow players. While year-end points can tell us where we have been, my tools attempt to tell us where we might be going shortly and become more heavily weighted for the current season every week. Let’s take a look at this week’s data. 

Defining Terms Used

Weekly Value- Weekly Value is a statistical tool that I created that attempts to combine the “Big Points Game” ability with “Consistency.”  The goal is to compare each player’s best games against the other players in Fantasy Football using a two-year data window,l. This metric is not meant to be a “Points Per Game” rating but can be considered the upside potential for each player. 

Consistency Rating- Many say consistency doesn’t matter in Fantasy Football because the point totals are wildly inconsistent from one week to the next. Those people do not understand how to rate consistency in FF. My consistency rating is the percentage of games over 10 PPR points versus the total full games played. A complete game is defined as 30 or more offensive snaps in a game. 

Fantasy MVP Index- Big Games, Average Games, and Horrible Games are the three possible outcomes each week that can affect our team's win/loss record in any format. Combining “Games 20 or More” with “Games Over 10” and “Games Under 5” plus using a little secret sauce math gives us another number to compare among players. 

Value- The drop-off in points in Fantasy Football is not linear. A simple computation from the leader at each position to the rest of the field at the position can show a percentage drop in value. This data can be helpful when making trades to understand how much value you gain or drop at a position in any deal. 

QB Weekly Value

Josh Allen stumbled last week in London and had his second low-scoring game of the season, but remains on top this week. The Chiefs had a dismal record inside the red zone again on Sunday, but Patrick Mahomes still holds down the second spot. It was a rough week for the guys at the top of this list, with four of the top five failing to hit a solid floor and two in the top ten out for the week with injuries.

RB Weekly Value

Injuries continue to hit hard at RB, with another top guy, Christian McCaffrey, leaving the game early last week. His status for this week is still uncertain. Raheem Mostert and Travis Etienne continue to move up the rankings to 4th and 6th, respectively. Six of the top twenty deal with significant injuries heading into week seven. 

WR Weekly Value

Tyreek Hill and Cooper Kupp continue to show that WRs get better with age or, at the very least, retain their value longer than most fake football managers think they do. After the top five, this position has a clear drop in value. While their weekly values are very close farther down the chart, their MVP index differences show who has the most impact on your fantasy football team winning or losing on any given week.

TE Weekly Value

When Johnnu Smith is one of the most sought-after free agents in fantasy football, you know the TE position has been very lean this season. As the rankings continue to be more heavily weighted for the current season, look for 3rd place George Kittle to fall fast, leaving a massive gap between the top 2 and the rest of the field. Rookie Sam LaPorta is in 10th place and rising. 

Conclusion

Each week, my weekly values continue to be more heavily weighted for the 2023 season. My MVP Index and Consistency Ratings will continue to show the big picture from the 2021 season to the current year. Year-end points and even points per game can be very deceiving and, in their best cases, simply show us past performances of what already happened. My weekly tools attempt to establish a player’s value for the future. While the MVP Index is still being beta-tested to determine flex starters this season, the results have been promising. Good luck in week seven.