Rookie TE Expectations Pre-Draft 2025

The leap from college to the pros is giant. Most college players fail when trying to reach the next level. Handicapping the chances of the top rookie TEs is very difficult, especially before the NFL Draft. 

This year, The Professor has challenged me to put my handicapping skills to the test by setting the Morning Line Odds for each player, showing how many dollars from a fictitious $100 bank roll I am willing to wager on each player to be the top scorer in Fantasy Football among this rookie class at TE. In addition, I will show the forecast of my percentage chances of each player finishing at various levels in Fantasy Football scoring this season. Here are my pre-NFL draft expectations for the rookie TE class. 

Definitions

Top Scorer at Position Among Rookies- While weekly values are more critical in Fantasy Football success, for this experiment, I am attempting to forecast which rookie player has the most total points for the 2025 season at each position. 

Top 12, 18, or 24: Total Fantasy Football points will also be used for each level for the 2025 season. 

FIELD- Indicates all players at the position other than those mentioned directly in the article. 

Historic Values

Before preparing an actual forecast, we need to understand the range of possible outcomes for rookies at the TE position based on the last ten seasons. 

Conclusion

Last year, the forecasting of rookie TEs was easy. Brock Bowers looked like a lock to finish in the Top 12, it was just a matter of how high he might place in the final points. Nobody else looked like a solid bet to be a Fantasy Football contributor in year one, and that’s exactly how things played out. 

This year is not as clear. In six of the last ten seasons, we have not seen a single rookie TE finish in the Top 12 in points. Over those same ten seasons, there is only one year where we saw two rookie TEs hit that Top 12 level. This year, there are two clear choices for the best rookie TE in the draft, with Tyler Warren and Colston Loveland projected to go in the first round. But jumping from college to the pro game is even tougher at the TE position. One of those two will likely hit the Top 12 in year one, but the odds are pretty close on who that might be.