Rookie RB Expectations Pre-Draft 2025

Rookie RB Expectations Pre-Draft 2025

The leap from college to the pros is giant. Most college players fail when trying to reach the next level. Handicapping the chances of the top rookie RBs is very difficult, especially before the NFL Draft. 

This year, the Professor has challenged me to put my handicapping skills to the test by setting the Morning Line Odds for each player, showing how many dollars from a fictitious $100 bank roll I am willing to wager on each player to be the top scorer in Fantasy Football among this rookie class at RB. 

In addition, I will show the forecast of my percentage chances of each player finishing at various levels in Fantasy Football scoring this season. Here are my pre-NFL draft expectations for the rookie RB class. 

Definitions

Top Scorer at Position Among Rookies- While weekly values are more critical in Fantasy Football success, for this experiment, I am attempting to forecast which rookie player has the most total points for the 2025 season at each position. 

Top 12, 18, or 24: Total Fantasy Football points will also be used for each level for the 2025 season. 

FIELD- Indicates all players at the position other than those mentioned directly in the article. 

Historic Values

Before preparing an actual forecast, we need to understand the range of possible outcomes for rookies at the RB position based on the last ten seasons.

Conclusion

Ashton Jeanty is a solid bet for a Top 12 RB this season, regardless of where he gets drafted, because whatever team spends a high first-round draft pick on him will give him enough weekly touches to make an impact, if he has the talent to succeed at the NFL level. 

We haven’t had a season with four or more Top 24 rookie RB finishers, and the talent of this class is so good I wouldn’t be surprised to set a high mark for the last 10 years at the position. 

There are five obvious favorites to hit that mark, which could expand depending on the landing position. While I only forecasted a finishing position for the top 8 rookie RBs, the field is 13 deep of guys I expect to be potential impact players in the NFL in their first three seasons.